What peace in Ukraine could look like, and who says what

September 29, 2026 · 27 min read

Zelenskyy demands real security guarantees, Murray warns about rewarding aggression, Ramaswamy and Gabbard push to end the war, and Mearsheimer doubts a durable deal is possible. Laying their positions side by side clarifies the trade-offs any settlement must face.

12 questions on this insight. Answer in your head, then open the card.
What three questions must any Ukraine peace proposal answer, according to this insight? Show answer

Who keeps which land, who guarantees that the fighting will not restart, and who pays the price of stopping.

Why does Volodymyr Zelenskyy reject a ceasefire without guarantees? Show answer

He says it would only give Putin time to rearm and attack again. He points to the 2019 ceasefire he pushed for, which Russia broke within about a month.

What does Zelenskyy's guarantee package include? Show answer

Partial NATO membership, an arms package held in reserve, continued sanctions and the use of frozen Russian assets to fund Ukrainian production and weapons purchases.

Why does Zelenskyy distrust written agreements? Show answer

Under the Budapest Memorandum Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons for assurances of territorial integrity. When its territory was seized and it requested consultations, nobody came.

What is Douglas Murray's warning about a rushed peace deal? Show answer

Mediators will put pressure on the side they can pressure, and it is easier to press Zelenskyy than Putin. A rushed deal could therefore reward the aggressor and punish the victim.

What deal does Vivek Ramaswamy propose? Show answer

Russia would get assurances on NATO expansion, some territorial resolution and reopened economic relations with the West. In return it would make monitorable commitments such as leaving its military alliance with China.

How does Tulsi Gabbard say the war ends? Show answer

Only through brokered negotiations in which both sides make concessions. She says the United States should encourage Zelenskyy to negotiate through the most effective neutral broker.

What terms does John Mearsheimer say a deal would require? Show answer

Ukraine would have to become neutral, sever all security ties with the West and accept that Russia keeps Crimea and the four annexed oblasts. He doubts any Ukrainian leader would agree.

What does Mearsheimer expect instead of a peace agreement? Show answer

A ceasefire followed by a frozen conflict that is not stable, in which each side tries to weaken the other and the potential for escalation is great.

What is the root disagreement among the speakers? Show answer

What Putin wants. Zelenskyy and Murray see expansionist aims, so concessions invite another attack. Mearsheimer blames NATO expansion, so concessions on alignment would remove the cause.

What do Ben Shapiro and Destiny agree on? Show answer

That open-ended support with no clear goal is poor policy, and that the United States needs a stated end line or off-ramp.

On what do Murray and Mearsheimer, who disagree on most things, share a view? Show answer

Both are gloomy about a lasting peace. Murray expects any ceasefire to be a temporary pause, and Mearsheimer expects an unstable frozen conflict.

This is the short form. The full insight has every expert's reasoning, their own words and the sources.